From his New York Post column:
The White House must realize the temptation the president’s low ratings pose for Gore and Hillary, and understands that if Bush’s numbers keep sinking the pressure for one or both of these heavyweights to run may prove irresistible.
So Karl Rove et al are scrambling to raise Bush’s numbers in the crucial next 40 to 50 days, during which Hillary and Gore must make their move or watch the filing deadlines for the primaries pass them by.
Hence the speech to the nation on Sunday, the TV movie about Bush on the same night and the focus on the 9/11 anniversary, all designed to raise the president’s polling and keep the big guns out of the Democratic presidential sweepstakes.
Why is Bush falling so badly? The superficial reasons are the Iraq casualties, the failure to find WMDs and the continuing inability to round up Saddam Hussein and Osama bin Laden. But the real reason is that terror is receding as an issue, largely due to Bush’s success.
The solution for Bush is to put terrorism back on the front burner by high profile and aggressive action against Iran and/or North Korea. It’s not necessary to wag the dog, but Bush should wag his tongue and raise the profile of these two remaining threats to our security. (Emphasis added.)